Twenty-five years after the September 11 attacks, Al-Qaeda has transformed significantly. While its central leadership has been weakened due to extensive counterterrorism efforts, the group’s regional offshoots have gained strength, particularly in Africa and Asia. This shift highlights a troubling trend: as the core organization diminishes, local factions exploit regional conflicts and weak governance to thrive.
The recent removal of extremist preacher Abdullah al-Muhaysini from the US sanctions list underscores a new US policy approach towards Syria, which may inadvertently bolster Al-Qaeda’s affiliates. These groups, such as Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin in the Sahel and al-Shabab in Somalia, are not just ideologically driven but are also capitalizing on local economies of violence, including kidnapping and smuggling, to sustain their operations.
Moreover, Al-Qaeda’s strategy has shifted from high-profile attacks to establishing local governance structures, allowing it to embed itself within communities. This localization means that while the brand may be fading in the West, its influence is growing in regions where it can adapt to local dynamics and conflicts.
As younger jihadists gravitate towards the more visually impactful Islamic State, Al-Qaeda faces the challenge of remaining relevant. Its long-term approach contrasts sharply with the Islamic State’s explosive tactics, suggesting a potential shift in the landscape of global jihadism, with Al-Qaeda surviving through adaptation rather than outright dominance.
Source: DW News
