As the conflict between Iran and the US escalates, the dynamics of power within Iran have become increasingly complex. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has emerged as a dominant force, particularly in controlling the strategic Strait of Hormuz. This shift in power raises questions about the coherence of Iran’s leadership, especially following the assassination of key figures, including the former Supreme Leader.
Despite US claims of a fractured leadership, Iranian officials maintain a unified stance on military operations in Hormuz. The IRGC’s leadership, including figures like Ahmad Vahidi and Ali Abdollahi, has publicly reinforced their commitment to military objectives, suggesting a strong military influence over national policy. This could have significant implications for regional security and international shipping routes.
Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian, while technically in charge of government functions, appears to have limited influence compared to military leaders. His attempts to project unity with the IRGC highlight the tension between military and civilian governance in Iran. This power struggle could affect Iran’s diplomatic strategies and its approach to negotiations with the US.
As the situation develops, the IRGC’s control over military actions and its strategic decisions will likely shape not only Iran’s internal politics but also its international relations, particularly regarding oil exports and maritime security in the Gulf region. The ongoing conflict underscores the fragility of Iran’s political landscape and the potential for further escalation in hostilities with the US.
Source: Al Jazeera
